--- title: "Cashed Out case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cashed Out ($28.66) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 109.00% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Cashed Out](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Cashed Out A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out?window=all) Price · $28.66 · 57.32 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $25.79 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 109.00% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 22 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min 23.5% 115.5% 207.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out?window=7d) | 22 | 115.44% ±91.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out) | 30 | 109.00% ±78.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cashed-out?window=all) | 30 | 109.00% ±78.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,340 4,679 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $860 1,721 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $657 1,315 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 6,667 | $506 1,012 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $438 876 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $338 676 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $299 599 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $206 413 coins | 12.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $153 307 coins | 17.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $151 302 coins | 17.6% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $75.09 150 coins | 14.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $56.30 113 coins | 10.9% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.67× | | [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $23.26 46.51 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $19.18 38.36 coins | 2.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-factory-new) | 12.0% | $2.04 4.07 coins | 0.9% | 5 | 3.6 | 1.39× | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 62.9% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 15 | 18.9 | 0.80× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cashed-out) [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins $23.26 46.51 coins 0.81x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $28.66 57.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins $56.30 113 coins 1.96x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Malachite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-factory-new) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins $2.04 4.07 coins 0.07x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:49 UTC [MAC-10 | Malachite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-factory-new) Hidden $28.66 57.32 coins $2.04 4.07 coins 0.07x 2026-11-07 15:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $28.66 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% covert knife 0.0% covert 4.1% restricted 16.5% classified 3.0% mil spec 8.0% Covert 5.0% #4b69ff 62.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt