--- title: "Charlie Kirk case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Charlie Kirk ($46.01) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 34.74% over 150 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk rendered: 2026-11-13T05:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Charlie Kirk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Charlie Kirk A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk?window=all) Price · $46.01 · 92.01 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 34.74% · 150 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 110 openings · below min 30 days · 150 openings · below min since tracking started · 150 openings · below min -0.5% 45.0% 90.5% **Small sample.** 150 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk?window=7d) | 110 | 41.77% ±48.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk) | 150 | 34.74% ±36.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/charlie-kirk?window=all) | 150 | 34.74% ±36.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [ladyluckslots](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/ladyluckslots) $46.01 92.01 coins $884 1,767 coins 19.21x 2026-11-08 21:12 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $884 1,767 coins 19.21x 2026-11-08 21:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=charlie-kirk) [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) [raka12k](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/raka12k) $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 19:28 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 19:28 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 19:28 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-field-tested) Hidden $46.01 92.01 coins $1.49 2.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 19:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $884 (19.21x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 34.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $34.74 on average: an expected loss of $65.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt