--- title: "Cheap 0.5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheap 0.5% ($0.22) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.92% over 4,296 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05 rendered: 2026-11-13T07:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Cheap 0.5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Cheap 0.5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05?window=all) Price · $0.22 · 0.44 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.92% · 4,296 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 226 openings · below min 7 days · 56.71% ±34.27 2,403 openings 30 days · 97.92% ±53.12 4,296 openings since tracking started · 97.92% ±53.12 4,296 openings 1.5% 76.5% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05?window=24h) | 226 | 2.27% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05?window=7d) | 2,403 | 56.71% ±34.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05) | 4,296 | 97.92% ±53.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-05?window=all) | 4,296 | 97.92% ±53.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-scorched-factory-new) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $146 292 coins 664.0x 2026-11-05 03:59 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-scorched-factory-new) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $146 292 coins 664.0x 2026-11-05 03:59 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-scorched-factory-new) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $146 292 coins 664.0x 2026-11-03 10:35 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $62.08 124 coins 282.2x 2026-11-05 21:17 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $62.08 124 coins 282.2x 2026-11-03 10:35 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $44.32 88.63 coins 201.4x 2026-11-07 22:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $44.32 88.63 coins 201.4x 2026-11-06 19:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $44.32 88.63 coins 201.4x 2026-11-06 15:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $44.32 88.63 coins 201.4x 2026-11-05 21:19 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins $34.03 68.06 coins 154.7x 2026-11-09 10:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cheap-05) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-13 00:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-13 00:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-13 00:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-13 00:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-13 00:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [gmablesucht](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/gmablesucht) $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-13 00:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 19:55 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 19:55 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 19:55 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.22 0.44 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 19:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $146 (664.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.92 on average: an expected loss of $2.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt