--- title: "cheap 2.5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "cheap 2.5% ($1.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 123.03% over 1,551 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [cheap 2.5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · cheap 2.5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25?window=all) Price · $1.00 · 1.99 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 123.03% · 1,551 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 116 openings · below min 7 days · 38.50% ±18.51 1,278 openings 30 days · 123.03% ±176.56 1,551 openings since tracking started · 123.03% ±176.56 1,551 openings -0.5% 149.8% 300.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25?window=24h) | 116 | 13.62% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25?window=7d) | 1,278 | 38.50% ±18.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25) | 1,551 | 123.03% ±176.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheap-25?window=all) | 1,551 | 123.03% ±176.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $0.99 1.99 coins $1,385 2,771 coins 1,392x 2026-11-04 00:50 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins $56.72 113 coins 57.00x 2026-11-06 22:21 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins $56.72 113 coins 57.00x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins $53.72 107 coins 53.98x 2026-11-10 10:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cheap-25) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [chxngezs](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chxngezs) $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins $3.99 7.98 coins 4.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [GrimViper3313](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/GrimViper3313) $0.99 1.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,385 (1,392x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 123.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $123.03 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt