---
title: "Cheeky Toss case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Cheeky Toss ($892.99) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 3 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Cheeky Toss](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Cheeky Toss

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss?window=all)

Price · $892.99 · 1,786 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $803.69 from 3 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cheeky-toss?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2,730 5,460 coins | 67.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1,289 2,577 coins | 32.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 60.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cheeky-toss)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $893 | 90.00% | 3 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 20.0% extraordinary 20.0% #4b69ff 60.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt