--- title: "CHERRY LIL CRIMSON case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CHERRY LIL CRIMSON ($200.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.14% over 98 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson rendered: 2026-11-13T00:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [CHERRY LIL CRIMSON](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · CHERRY LIL CRIMSON A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson?window=all) Price · $200.00 · 400 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.14% · 98 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 98 openings · below min 7 days · 98 openings · below min 30 days · 98 openings · below min since tracking started · 98 openings · below min 23.5% 84.0% 144.5% **Small sample.** 98 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson?window=24h) | 98 | 84.14% ±59.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson?window=7d) | 98 | 84.14% ±59.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson) | 98 | 84.14% ±59.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cherry-lil-crimson?window=all) | 98 | 84.14% ±59.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $4,209 8,418 coins 21.04x 2026-11-12 11:04 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) [cherrylea](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/cherrylea) $200 400 coins $2,919 5,838 coins 14.59x 2026-11-12 11:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $2,171 4,342 coins 10.86x 2026-11-12 11:23 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $2,023 4,047 coins 10.12x 2026-11-12 11:05 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $1,080 2,161 coins 5.40x 2026-11-12 11:23 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $614 1,228 coins 3.07x 2026-11-12 11:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cherry-lil-crimson) [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $495 990 coins 2.48x 2026-11-12 22:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:10 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,209 (21.04x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.14 on average: an expected loss of $15.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt