--- title: "Clouds case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Clouds ($14.03) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 90.54% over 1,805 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Clouds](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Clouds A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds?window=all) Price · $14.03 · 28.06 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $12.63 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.54% · 1,805 openings, odds method Variance · 9.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 65.74% ±43.07 187 openings 7 days · 90.85% ±14.76 1,592 openings 30 days · 90.54% ±13.86 1,805 openings since tracking started · 90.54% ±13.86 1,805 openings 22.0% 65.8% 109.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds?window=24h) | 187 | 65.74% ±43.1 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds?window=7d) | 1,592 | 90.85% ±14.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds) | 1,805 | 90.54% ±13.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clouds?window=all) | 1,805 | 90.54% ±13.9 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,805 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $633 1,265 coins | 5.0% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $583 1,165 coins | 4.6% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $465 930 coins | 7.4% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $341 681 coins | 6.7% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.66× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $77.84 156 coins | 12.3% | 40 | 36.1 | 1.11× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $68.47 137 coins | 10.8% | 50 | 36.1 | 1.39× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $63.73 127 coins | 10.1% | 38 | 36.1 | 1.05× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $61.68 123 coins | 9.8% | 39 | 36.1 | 1.08× | | [USP-S \| Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $39.29 78.58 coins | 9.3% | 45 | 54.1 | 0.83× | | [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $26.78 53.55 coins | 8.5% | 77 | 72.2 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $22.86 45.72 coins | 9.1% | 86 | 90.3 | 0.95× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 79.3% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 6.3% | 1,421 | 1432.3 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $633 1,265 coins 45.10x 2026-11-09 21:35 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $583 1,165 coins 41.52x 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $583 1,165 coins 41.52x 2026-11-04 22:21 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $583 1,165 coins 41.52x 2026-11-04 19:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=clouds) [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [Glock-18 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $14.03 28.06 coins $26.78 53.55 coins 1.91x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $22.86 45.72 coins 1.63x 2026-11-11 10:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:17 UTC [USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $39.29 78.58 coins 2.80x 2026-11-11 10:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $14.03 28.06 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.03 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.2% other 0.2% Knives 0.3% red 2.0% Immortal 2.0% restricted 3.0% Mythical 4.0% #8847ff 79.3% best hit $633 (45.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt