--- title: "Clutch case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Clutch ($542.54) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch rendered: 2026-11-11T17:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Clutch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Clutch A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch?window=all) Price · $542.54 · 1,085 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $488.28 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/clutch?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,774 13,548 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 400 | $5,803 11,607 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $2,468 4,935 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1,151 2,301 coins | 23.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 16.0% | $986 1,972 coins | 32.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 16.0% | $809 1,619 coins | 26.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) | 16.0% | $249 497 coins | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 40.6% | $0.49 0.99 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=clutch) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $543 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 1.3% Covert 10.0% gold 16.0% classified 56.6% Extraordinary 16.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt