--- title: "Combat Supply case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Combat Supply ($176.92) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Combat Supply](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Combat Supply A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply?window=all) Price · $176.92 · 354 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $159.23 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/combat-supply?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $658 1,315 coins | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $623 1,247 coins | 19.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $451 903 coins | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $434 868 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $425 849 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $234 467 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Charm \| Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) | 1 in 25 | $226 451 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $117 234 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $111 222 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $64.42 129 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $61.04 122 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 65.0% | $25.16 50.31 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=combat-supply) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $177 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 5.0% knifes 10.0% covert 9.0% extraordinary 4.0% Legendary 4.0% covert knife 2.0% mil spec 1.0% Rare 65.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt