--- title: "Connector case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Connector ($47.47) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 86.30% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Connector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Connector A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector?window=all) Price · $47.47 · 94.93 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $42.72 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.30% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 28.0% 86.3% 144.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector?window=7d) | 12 | 86.30% ±57.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector) | 12 | 86.30% ±57.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/connector?window=all) | 12 | 86.30% ±57.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 10.0% | $150 300 coins | 35.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-field-tested) | 10.0% | $101 201 coins | 23.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) | 10.0% | $75.08 150 coins | 17.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 10.0% | $50.22 100 coins | 11.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 10.0% | $25.74 51.47 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 10.0% | $10.11 20.21 coins | 2.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 20.0% | $5.04 10.08 coins | 2.4% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.50× | | [MP7 \| Olive Plaid (Factory New) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-olive-plaid-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.55 5.1 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=connector) [USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $10.11 20.21 coins 0.21x 2026-11-05 02:13 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $5.04 10.08 coins 0.11x 2026-11-05 02:13 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $150 300 coins 3.16x 2026-11-05 02:13 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $5.04 10.08 coins 0.11x 2026-11-05 02:13 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $5.04 10.08 coins 0.11x 2026-11-05 02:13 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) [Insin](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Insin) $47.47 94.93 coins $5.04 10.08 coins 0.11x 2026-11-05 02:13 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $50.22 100 coins 1.06x 2026-11-05 02:07 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $75.08 150 coins 1.58x 2026-11-05 02:07 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $75.08 150 coins 1.58x 2026-11-05 02:07 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-field-tested) Hidden $47.47 94.93 coins $101 201 coins 2.12x 2026-11-05 02:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $47.47 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% covert knife 10.0% other 10.0% extraordinary 10.0% mil spec 10.0% industrial 10.0% restricted 20.0% #777777 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt