---
title: "Cool Breeze case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Cool Breeze ($14.17) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 107.77% over 763 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Cool Breeze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Cool Breeze

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze?window=all)

Price · $14.17 · 28.34 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $12.75 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 107.77% · 763 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 31 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 53 openings · below min

7 days · 105.68% ±25.01 663 openings

30 days · 107.77% ±23.32 763 openings

since tracking started · 107.77% ±23.32 763 openings

-0.5% 77.0% 154.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze?window=24h) | 53 | 65.43% ±88.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze?window=7d) | 663 | 105.68% ±25.0 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze) | 763 | 107.77% ±23.3 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cool-breeze?window=all) | 763 | 107.77% ±23.3 | +1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 763 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,109 4,219 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,037 2,074 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $506 1,012 coins | 4.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $451 903 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $401 802 coins | 7.9% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.62× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 400 | $341 683 coins | 6.7% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $310 620 coins | 6.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 400 | $210 420 coins | 4.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $110 220 coins | 8.6% | 7 | 7.6 | 0.92× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $109 217 coins | 8.5% | 8 | 7.6 | 1.05× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $87.89 176 coins | 10.3% | 16 | 11.4 | 1.40× |
| [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $84.39 169 coins | 9.9% | 18 | 11.4 | 1.57× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $38.75 77.49 coins | 4.6% | 11 | 11.4 | 0.96× |
| [MAC-10 \| Indigo (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.06 16.12 coins | 3.2% | 42 | 38.1 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $7.63 15.26 coins | 3.0% | 31 | 38.1 | 0.81× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 82.3% | $2.79 5.57 coins | 18.0% | 618 | 627.8 | 0.98× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $506 1,012 coins 35.69x 2026-11-06 13:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cool-breeze)

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $7.63 15.26 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[Souvenir Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $84.39 169 coins 5.96x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $14.17 28.34 coins $2.79 5.57 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.17 | 89.99% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% covert 2.2% covert knife 0.3% sunny 0.3% Covert 2.0% restricted 1.5% classified 6.5% Common 5.0% mil spec 82.3% best hit $506 (35.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt