--- title: "CRAZY 0.4% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CRAZY 0.4% ($23.96) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.25% over 1,112 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [CRAZY 0.4%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · CRAZY 0.4% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04?window=all) Price · $23.96 · 47.91 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.25% · 1,112 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 592 openings · below min 30 days · 75.25% ±76.36 1,112 openings since tracking started · 75.25% ±76.36 1,112 openings -0.5% 142.5% 285.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04?window=7d) | 592 | 141.34% ±143.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04) | 1,112 | 75.25% ±76.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crazy-04?window=all) | 1,112 | 75.25% ±76.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 306.2x 2026-11-06 13:44 UTC [Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins $4,480 8,960 coins 187.0x 2026-11-06 19:28 UTC [Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins $4,480 8,960 coins 187.0x 2026-11-06 19:28 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins $3,746 7,492 coins 156.4x 2026-11-06 19:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=crazy-04) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $23.96 47.91 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,335 (306.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.25 on average: an expected loss of $24.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt