--- title: "Crown Chamber case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crown Chamber ($7.51) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 105.84% over 574 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber rendered: 2026-11-11T19:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Crown Chamber](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Crown Chamber A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber?window=all) Price · $7.51 · 15.01 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $6.75 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.84% · 574 openings, odds method Variance · 10.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 95.38% ±28.39 480 openings 30 days · 105.84% ±25.96 574 openings since tracking started · 105.84% ±25.96 574 openings -0.5% 117.0% 234.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber?window=24h) | 12 | 54.45% ±179.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber?window=7d) | 480 | 95.38% ±28.4 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber) | 574 | 105.84% ±26.0 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/crown-chamber?window=all) | 574 | 105.84% ±26.0 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 574 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-bone-mask-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $167 335 coins | 24.8% | 10 | 5.7 | 1.74× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $113 226 coins | 33.5% | 10 | 11.5 | 0.87× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $51.63 103 coins | 19.1% | 17 | 14.4 | 1.18× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.52 23.04 coins | 8.5% | 29 | 28.7 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $7.24 14.47 coins | 5.4% | 25 | 28.7 | 0.87× | | [R8 Revolver \| Night (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $3.10 6.19 coins | 3.4% | 57 | 43.0 | 1.32× | | [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1.97 3.93 coins | 2.0% | 31 | 40.2 | 0.77× | | [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) | 70.0% | $0.32 0.63 coins | 3.3% | 395 | 401.8 | 0.98× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=crown-chamber) [R8 Revolver | Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $1.97 3.93 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $0.32 0.63 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $11.52 23.04 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $11.52 23.04 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $0.32 0.63 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $3.10 6.19 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $0.32 0.63 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $7.51 15.01 coins $0.32 0.63 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $3.10 6.19 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 15.01 coins $11.52 23.04 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.51 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed consumer 8.5% Classified 4.5% covert 5.0% classified 5.0% restricted 7.0% violet 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt