--- title: "Cryo case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cryo ($8.67) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 16 items with odds, observed 95.70% over 1,403 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Cryo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Cryo A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo?window=all) Price · $8.67 · 17.33 coins Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $7.80 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.70% · 1,403 openings, odds method Variance · 14.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 108.19% ±41.96 318 openings 7 days · 88.94% ±20.57 1,323 openings 30 days · 95.70% ±19.97 1,403 openings since tracking started · 95.70% ±19.97 1,403 openings 65.5% 108.3% 151.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo?window=24h) | 318 | 108.19% ±42.0 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo?window=7d) | 1,323 | 88.94% ±20.6 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo) | 1,403 | 95.70% ±20.0 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cryo?window=all) | 1,403 | 95.70% ±20.0 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,403 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $721 1,443 coins | 9.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.14× | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 250 | $311 622 coins | 16.0% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.53× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $190 379 coins | 12.2% | 10 | 7.0 | 1.43× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $44.59 89.17 coins | 5.7% | 11 | 14.0 | 0.78× | | [P250 \| Digital Architect (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $33.09 66.18 coins | 4.2% | 12 | 14.0 | 0.86× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $24.16 48.32 coins | 3.1% | 10 | 14.0 | 0.71× | | [SG 553 \| Wave Spray (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-wave-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $12.08 24.15 coins | 7.7% | 72 | 70.2 | 1.03× | | [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.64 23.28 coins | 7.5% | 78 | 70.2 | 1.11× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9.52 19.03 coins | 6.1% | 62 | 70.2 | 0.88× | | [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9.21 18.42 coins | 5.9% | 74 | 70.2 | 1.05× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.80 17.59 coins | 5.6% | 65 | 70.2 | 0.93× | | [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $4.59 9.17 coins | 2.9% | 77 | 70.2 | 1.10× | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 11.0% | $3.99 7.98 coins | 5.6% | 164 | 154.3 | 1.06× | | [MAG-7 \| Seabird (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-seabird-factory-new) | 11.0% | $3.20 6.39 coins | 4.5% | 159 | 154.3 | 1.03× | | [Nova \| Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) | 11.0% | $2.55 5.09 coins | 3.6% | 146 | 154.3 | 0.95× | | [Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) | 33.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 457 | 463.0 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $721 1,443 coins 83.25x 2026-11-11 00:54 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $721 1,443 coins 83.25x 2026-11-05 01:08 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $721 1,443 coins 83.25x 2026-11-03 17:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cryo) [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $8.80 17.59 coins 1.02x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $8.67 17.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $4.59 9.17 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $11.64 23.28 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $4.59 9.17 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $2.55 5.09 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) Hidden $8.67 17.33 coins $2.55 5.09 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) [Apex5887](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Apex5887) $8.67 17.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.67 | 89.97% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 1.9% restricted 6.0% mil spec 16.0% #4b69ff 5.0% Mythical 5.0% Legendary 11.0% consumer 55.0% best hit $721 (83.25x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt