---
title: "CT-Side case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CT-Side ($138.26) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 118.40% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [CT-Side](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · CT-Side

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side?window=all)

Price · $138.26 · 277 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $124.43 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 118.40% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

6.0% 118.5% 231.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side?window=7d) | 6 | 118.40% ±111.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side) | 6 | 118.40% ±111.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ct-side?window=all) | 6 | 118.40% ±111.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,617 7,234 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,187 6,373 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $1,381 2,761 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,111 | $1,316 2,632 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $774 1,548 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $520 1,041 coins | 16.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $250 500 coins | 15.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $241 482 coins | 14.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 13 | $235 470 coins | 14.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $227 453 coins | 13.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $220 440 coins | 13.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $39.94 79.87 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $29.05 58.1 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $3.50 7 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $0.55 1.09 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) | 49.1% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.02× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-well-worn) [fordtransit](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fordtransit) $138 277 coins $520 1,041 coins 3.76x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ct-side)

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $138 277 coins $227 453 coins 1.64x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $138 277 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $138 277 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $138 277 coins $235 470 coins 1.70x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $138 277 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

[Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-well-worn) [fordtransit](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fordtransit) $138 277 coins $520 1,041 coins 3.76x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $138 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.1% Classified 0.1% high 0.1% #EB4B4B 1.1% Covert 4.1% industrial 9.5% covert knife 22.5% Knives 7.5% #4b69ff 2.0% mil spec 2.0% consumer 49.1% best hit $520 (3.76x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt