--- title: "Da Prince case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Da Prince ($98.01) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 158.04% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince rendered: 2026-11-12T04:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Da Prince](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Da Prince A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince?window=all) Price · $98.01 · 196 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $88.20 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 158.04% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min 35.0% 131.8% 228.5% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince?window=7d) | 28 | 126.89% ±91.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince) | 48 | 158.04% ±69.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince?window=all) | 48 | 158.04% ±69.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,086 6,171 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,935 5,870 coins | 1.7% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,813 5,625 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,656 5,311 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 80 | $1,018 2,037 coins | 14.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 80 | $891 1,782 coins | 12.6% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $779 1,558 coins | 11.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $683 1,366 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $595 1,191 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 80 | $521 1,043 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $431 861 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $356 712 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $354 708 coins | 5.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) | 29.5% | $16.06 32.11 coins | 5.4% | 13 | 14.2 | 0.92× | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 29.5% | $13.85 27.7 coins | 4.6% | 13 | 14.2 | 0.92× | | [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 29.5% | $11.07 22.14 coins | 3.7% | 16 | 14.2 | 1.13× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $2,935 5,870 coins 29.95x 2026-11-03 11:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $1,018 2,037 coins 10.39x 2026-11-07 11:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $891 1,782 coins 9.09x 2026-11-07 11:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $891 1,782 coins 9.09x 2026-11-07 11:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $779 1,558 coins 7.95x 2026-11-03 11:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=da-prince) [AK-47 | Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $11.07 22.14 coins 0.11x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $13.85 27.7 coins 0.14x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $16.06 32.11 coins 0.16x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $13.85 27.7 coins 0.14x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $16.06 32.11 coins 0.16x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $13.85 27.7 coins 0.14x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $16.06 32.11 coins 0.16x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [AK-47 | Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) [Andushka](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Andushka) $98.01 196 coins $11.07 22.14 coins 0.11x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $13.85 27.7 coins 0.14x 2026-11-07 11:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $98.01 196 coins $891 1,782 coins 9.09x 2026-11-07 11:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $98.01 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 34.7% legendary 0.1% covert knife 3.8% classified 1.3% Covert 1.3% mil spec 29.5% Ancient 29.5% best hit $2,935 (29.95x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt