---
title: "Damascus case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Damascus ($36.14) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Damascus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Damascus

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus?window=all)

Price · $36.14 · 72.27 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $32.52 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/damascus?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $149 298 coins | 30.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $147 295 coins | 30.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $110 220 coins | 22.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $23.04 46.07 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $22.72 45.43 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $21.81 43.62 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $3.00 5.99 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Asterion (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-asterion-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $2.89 5.77 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Old Roots (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-old-roots-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $2.85 5.69 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $2.69 5.38 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Bamboo Shadow (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-bamboo-shadow-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $2.62 5.23 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.02 0.04 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Ultralight (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=damascus)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $36.14 | 89.99% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 5.7% covert 33.5% classified 6.7% restricted 5.7% consumer 5.7% Uncommon 5.7% #d32ee6 5.7% Consumer Grade 5.7% milspec 5.7% #4b69ff 5.7% blue 14.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt