--- title: "Dead Zone case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dead Zone ($0.83) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.73% from 14 items with odds, observed 92.60% over 985 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Dead Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Dead Zone A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone?window=all) Price · $0.83 · 1.66 coins Advertised RTP · 89.73% · EV $0.74 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.60% · 985 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 100.30% ±18.70 144 openings 7 days · 92.22% ±7.46 904 openings 30 days · 92.60% ±7.15 985 openings since tracking started · 92.60% ±7.15 985 openings 81.0% 100.3% 119.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone?window=24h) | 144 | 100.30% ±18.7 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone?window=7d) | 904 | 92.22% ±7.46 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone) | 985 | 92.60% ±7.15 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dead-zone?window=all) | 985 | 92.60% ±7.15 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 987 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Five-SeveN \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $20.14 40.27 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $15.02 30.03 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.01 20.02 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $5.02 10.04 coins | 3.4% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4.00 8 coins | 5.4% | 12 | 9.9 | 1.22× | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.50 7 coins | 4.7% | 21 | 9.9 | 2.13× | | [SSG 08 \| Mayan Dreams (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mayan-dreams-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.16 6.31 coins | 4.2% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× | | [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2.53 5.06 coins | 3.4% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.59 3.18 coins | 4.3% | 24 | 19.7 | 1.22× | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.07 2.14 coins | 2.9% | 22 | 19.7 | 1.11× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.05 2.1 coins | 2.8% | 17 | 19.7 | 0.86× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.04 2.08 coins | 2.8% | 22 | 19.7 | 1.11× | | [Sawed-Off \| Brake Light (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-brake-light-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.57 1.14 coins | 6.1% | 79 | 79.0 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) | 79.3% | $0.52 1.04 coins | 55.3% | 765 | 782.2 | 0.98× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=dead-zone) [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-brake-light-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 04:39 UTC [P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-factory-new) Hidden $0.83 1.66 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 04:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.83 | 89.73% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 1.6% restricted 0.1% industrial 0.1% Rare 1.0% #4b69ff 3.0% Industrial Grade 1.0% Legendary 2.0% classified 2.0% Mythical 2.0% blue 8.0% Mil Spec Grade 79.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.73 on average: an expected loss of $10.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt