--- title: "Degenerate Green case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Degenerate Green ($206.94) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 80.04% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green rendered: 2026-11-11T21:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Degenerate Green](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Degenerate Green A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green?window=all) Price · $206.94 · 414 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $186.24 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.04% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 135.8% 272.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green?window=7d) | 6 | 80.04% ±191.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green) | 6 | 80.04% ±191.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/degenerate-green?window=all) | 6 | 80.04% ±191.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $3,592 7,183 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $3,288 6,576 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $2,813 5,625 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $2,340 4,679 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $2,338 4,676 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $2,135 4,270 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $1,885 3,771 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $1,449 2,899 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 13.0% | $202 405 coins | 14.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 13.0% | $201 402 coins | 14.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 13.0% | $197 393 coins | 13.7% | 3 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 12.0% | $40.72 81.43 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 12.0% | $31.71 63.42 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-factory-new) | 12.0% | $1.79 3.57 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $0.79 1.58 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.74 1.48 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=degenerate-green) [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Apex5887](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Apex5887) $207 414 coins $197 393 coins 0.95x 2026-11-08 00:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $207 414 coins $197 393 coins 0.95x 2026-11-08 00:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $207 414 coins $197 393 coins 0.95x 2026-11-08 00:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $207 414 coins $201 402 coins 0.97x 2026-11-08 00:31 UTC [G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) Hidden $207 414 coins $0.79 1.58 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $207 414 coins $202 405 coins 0.98x 2026-11-08 00:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $207 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 29.0% Covert 0.5% epic 0.5% other 13.0% gold 12.0% extraordinary 12.0% restricted 21.0% Mythical 12.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt