--- title: "Detain case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Detain ($33.05) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 64.96% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain rendered: 2026-11-11T15:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Detain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Detain A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain?window=all) Price · $33.05 · 66.1 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $29.74 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 64.96% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 116.5% 233.5% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain?window=7d) | 8 | 62.91% ±169.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain) | 16 | 64.96% ±120.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/detain?window=all) | 16 | 64.96% ±120.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,628 3,257 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $667 1,334 coins | 11.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $264 528 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $253 506 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $73.83 148 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $71.31 143 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $43.68 87.36 coins | 5.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Nova \| Bloomstick (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $39.43 78.85 coins | 5.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $34.93 69.86 coins | 5.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $29.95 59.89 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $25.96 51.91 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 11.0% | $21.58 43.15 coins | 8.0% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 11.0% | $19.18 38.36 coins | 7.1% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× | | [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $17.07 34.14 coins | 6.9% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.08× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 33.3% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2 | 5.3 | 0.37× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=detain) [USP-S | Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins $17.07 34.14 coins 0.52x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC [P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins $34.93 69.86 coins 1.06x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC [USP-S | Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins $17.07 34.14 coins 0.52x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins $19.18 38.36 coins 0.58x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins $21.58 43.15 coins 0.65x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC [P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins $34.93 69.86 coins 1.06x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins $21.58 43.15 coins 0.65x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $33.05 66.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-04 18:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $33.05 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.1% covert 18.1% extraordinary 0.5% rare 1.0% covert knife 6.0% restricted 9.0% classified 9.0% mil spec 11.0% industrial 12.0% #4b69ff 33.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt