--- title: "Diamond Dash case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Diamond Dash ($69.58) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 3 items with odds, observed 97.48% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash rendered: 2026-11-11T17:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Diamond Dash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Diamond Dash A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash?window=all) Price · $69.58 · 139 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $62.62 from 3 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.48% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 51.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 49.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 100.5% 201.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 6.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash?window=7d) | 6 | 88.79% ±111.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash) | 12 | 97.48% ±79.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/diamond-dash?window=all) | 12 | 97.48% ±79.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $696 1,392 coins | 22.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) | 49.0% | $85.96 172 coins | 67.3% | 9 | 5.9 | 1.53× | | [Charm \| Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) | 49.0% | $13.43 26.86 coins | 10.5% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=diamond-dash) [Charm | Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $13.43 26.86 coins 0.19x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $85.96 172 coins 1.24x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [Charm | Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $13.43 26.86 coins 0.19x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $85.96 172 coins 1.24x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $85.96 172 coins 1.24x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) [kn0x77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kn0x77) $69.58 139 coins $85.96 172 coins 1.24x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $85.96 172 coins 1.24x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $85.96 172 coins 1.24x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC [Charm | Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $13.43 26.86 coins 0.19x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) Hidden $69.58 139 coins $85.96 172 coins 1.24x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $69.58 | 90.00% | 3 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 51.0% rare 49.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt