--- title: "Digi case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Digi ($1.92) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 12 items with odds, observed 92.80% over 778 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Digi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Digi A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi?window=all) Price · $1.92 · 3.84 coins Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $1.73 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.80% · 778 openings, odds method Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 92.93% ±19.35 582 openings 30 days · 92.80% ±16.74 778 openings since tracking started · 92.80% ±16.74 778 openings -0.5% 74.0% 148.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi?window=24h) | 29 | 61.33% ±86.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi?window=7d) | 582 | 92.93% ±19.4 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi) | 778 | 92.80% ±16.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/digi?window=all) | 778 | 92.80% ±16.7 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 794 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P250 \| Digital Architect (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $33.09 66.18 coins | 19.2% | 12 | 7.9 | 1.51× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $24.16 48.32 coins | 14.0% | 4 | 7.9 | 0.50× | | [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $17.64 35.28 coins | 10.2% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $13.47 26.94 coins | 7.8% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× | | [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $9.10 18.19 coins | 5.3% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6.79 13.57 coins | 3.9% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4.88 9.75 coins | 2.8% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4.01 8.01 coins | 2.3% | 13 | 7.9 | 1.64× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3.30 6.59 coins | 1.9% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2.39 4.77 coins | 1.4% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× | | [P2000 \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1.84 3.68 coins | 1.1% | 13 | 7.9 | 1.64× | | [Nova \| Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) | 89.0% | $0.58 1.17 coins | 30.1% | 698 | 706.7 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=digi) [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-factory-new) [valentinslisaks](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/valentinslisaks) $1.92 3.84 coins $4.01 8.01 coins 2.09x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 21:47 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 21:47 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 21:47 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) [valentinslisaks](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/valentinslisaks) $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 21:47 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 20:36 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $0.58 1.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 20:36 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) Hidden $1.92 3.84 coins $3.30 6.59 coins 1.72x 2026-11-10 20:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.92 | 89.95% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 92.0% mil spec 3.0% Consumer Grade 1.0% classified 2.0% Rare 1.0% light blue 1.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt