---
title: "Dollar Store case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dollar Store ($1.04) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.13% from 16 items with odds, observed 79.94% over 2,566 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Dollar Store](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Dollar Store

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store?window=all)

Price · $1.04 · 2.08 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.13% · EV $0.94 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.94% · 2,566 openings, odds method

Variance · 11.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 142 openings · below min

7 days · 81.98% ±17.08 1,540 openings

30 days · 79.94% ±13.23 2,566 openings

since tracking started · 79.94% ±13.23 2,566 openings

24.0% 80.8% 137.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store?window=24h) | 142 | 80.70% ±56.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store?window=7d) | 1,540 | 81.98% ±17.1 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store) | 2,566 | 79.94% ±13.2 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dollar-store?window=all) | 2,566 | 79.94% ±13.2 | −1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,566 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $25.16 50.31 coins | 53.7% | 41 | 51.3 | 0.80× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.76 5.51 coins | 8.8% | 76 | 77.0 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $2.75 5.49 coins | 5.9% | 46 | 51.3 | 0.90× |
| [SG 553 \| Barricade (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-barricade-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $2.74 5.48 coins | 5.8% | 50 | 51.3 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2.61 5.22 coins | 5.6% | 57 | 51.3 | 1.11× |
| [AUG \| Spalted Wood (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-spalted-wood-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $2.56 5.11 coins | 5.5% | 45 | 51.3 | 0.88× |
| [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.65 1.3 coins | 3.5% | 126 | 128.3 | 0.98× |
| [M249 \| Magma (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.65 1.3 coins | 3.5% | 114 | 128.3 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.64 1.27 coins | 3.4% | 136 | 128.3 | 1.06× |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $0.53 1.06 coins | 3.1% | 171 | 141.1 | 1.21× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.2% | 164 | 154.0 | 1.07× |
| [UMP-45 \| Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.2% | 145 | 154.0 | 0.94× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.2% | 145 | 154.0 | 0.94× |
| [Negev \| Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.2% | 174 | 154.0 | 1.13× |
| [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.02 0.04 coins | 0.1% | 152 | 154.0 | 0.99× |
| [Negev \| Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) | 36.5% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.6% | 924 | 936.6 | 0.99× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=dollar-store)

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC

[Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $0.64 1.27 coins 0.61x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC

[UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $0.65 1.3 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC

[SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $25.16 50.31 coins 24.19x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC

[AUG | Spalted Wood (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-spalted-wood-field-tested) [kruley](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kruley) $1.04 2.08 coins $2.56 5.11 coins 2.46x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC

[P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $0.53 1.06 coins 0.51x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $1.04 2.08 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-factory-new) [Tomas0](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomas0) $1.04 2.08 coins $2.76 5.51 coins 2.65x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.04 | 90.13% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 6.0% Rare 44.0% Uncommon 3.0% classified 2.0% Common 2.0% mil spec 12.0% Industrial 2.0% #4b69ff 11.0% consumer 12.0% industrial 6.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.13 on average: an expected loss of $9.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt