--- title: "Dosage case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dosage ($214.70) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 150.86% over 26 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Dosage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Dosage A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage?window=all) Price · $214.70 · 429 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $193.23 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 150.86% · 26 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 54.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 26 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min 89.5% 142.0% 194.5% **Small sample.** 26 openings and 6.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage?window=7d) | 26 | 150.86% ±42.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage) | 26 | 150.86% ±42.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/dosage?window=all) | 26 | 150.86% ±42.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,234 12,468 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,638 3,277 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,239 2,478 coins | 3.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $871 1,742 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 11.0% | $534 1,067 coins | 30.4% | 8 | 2.9 | 2.80× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 11.0% | $506 1,012 coins | 28.8% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.40× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 22.0% | $246 491 coins | 28.0% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.52× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $43.89 87.78 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $25.31 50.62 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $22.69 45.37 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $19.94 39.87 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [G3SG1 \| New Roots (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-new-roots-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $15.66 31.32 coins | 0.4% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× | | [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $5.37 10.74 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× | | [P2000 \| Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $5.03 10.05 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× | | [Nova \| Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $4.83 9.65 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [XM1014 \| Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) | 15.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [Tomex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomex) $215 429 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 5.77x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) [Brentson](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Brentson) $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) [fordtransit](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fordtransit) $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 13:03 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 13:03 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $215 429 coins $506 1,012 coins 2.36x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=dosage) [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $246 491 coins 1.14x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $215 429 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $246 491 coins 1.14x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) [Brentson](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Brentson) $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 14:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 13:03 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) Hidden $215 429 coins $19.94 39.87 coins 0.09x 2026-11-08 13:03 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $215 429 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:03 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) [fordtransit](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fordtransit) $215 429 coins $534 1,067 coins 2.48x 2026-11-08 13:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $215 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.0% classified 6.1% extraordinary 17.5% epic 1.0% covert 38.0% mil spec 5.0% Mil Spec Grade 5.0% Legendary 4.0% Uncommon 4.0% restricted 4.0% consumer 15.4% best hit $1,239 (5.77x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt