--- title: "Drepound thug shake case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Drepound thug shake ($2.36) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.46% over 124 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Drepound thug shake](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Drepound thug shake A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake?window=all) Price · $2.36 · 4.71 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.46% · 124 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 124 openings · below min 30 days · 124 openings · below min since tracking started · 124 openings · below min -0.5% 102.8% 206.0% **Small sample.** 124 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake?window=7d) | 124 | 98.46% ±107.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake) | 124 | 98.46% ±107.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/drepound-thug-shake?window=all) | 124 | 98.46% ±107.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins $158 315 coins 66.91x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=drepound-thug-shake) [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins $8.35 16.7 coins 3.55x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [votex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/votex) $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:01 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:01 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) [Apex5887](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Apex5887) $2.36 4.71 coins $8.00 16 coins 3.40x 2026-11-07 22:01 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $2.36 4.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $158 (66.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.46 on average: an expected loss of $1.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt