---
title: "Echo case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Echo ($3.75) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.89% from 16 items with odds, observed 80.67% over 2,079 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Echo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Echo

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo?window=all)

Price · $3.75 · 7.49 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.89% · EV $3.37 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.67% · 2,079 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.26% ±27.70 448 openings

7 days · 80.00% ±14.16 1,715 openings

30 days · 80.67% ±12.86 2,079 openings

since tracking started · 80.67% ±12.86 2,079 openings

63.0% 91.3% 119.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo?window=24h) | 448 | 91.26% ±27.7 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo?window=7d) | 1,715 | 80.00% ±14.2 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo) | 2,079 | 80.67% ±12.9 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/echo?window=all) | 2,079 | 80.67% ±12.9 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,079 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 5,000 | $360 721 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $155 309 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $117 234 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $39.30 78.6 coins | 10.5% | 17 | 18.7 | 0.91× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $38.75 77.49 coins | 11.5% | 19 | 20.8 | 0.91× |
| [P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $34.93 69.86 coins | 10.4% | 18 | 20.8 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Digital Architect (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $33.09 66.18 coins | 9.8% | 21 | 20.8 | 1.01× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $30.12 60.24 coins | 17.9% | 38 | 41.6 | 0.91× |
| [Galil AR \| Winter Forest (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-winter-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $27.96 55.92 coins | 16.6% | 39 | 41.6 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $23.44 46.87 coins | 13.9% | 44 | 41.6 | 1.06× |
| [Galil AR \| Sandstorm (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.63 1.26 coins | 2.8% | 311 | 311.8 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.07 0.13 coins | 0.3% | 316 | 311.8 | 1.01× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.06 0.12 coins | 0.3% | 313 | 311.8 | 1.00× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.06 0.12 coins | 0.3% | 305 | 311.8 | 0.98× |
| [G3SG1 \| VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.06 0.11 coins | 0.2% | 310 | 311.8 | 0.99× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.05 0.1 coins | 0.2% | 328 | 311.8 | 1.05× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=echo)

[Galil AR | Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.07 0.13 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[G3SG1 | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-factory-new) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[SG 553 | Aerial (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-field-tested) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[G3SG1 | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-factory-new) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[SG 553 | Aerial (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-field-tested) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Galil AR | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-field-tested) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BG2x) $3.75 7.49 coins $0.63 1.26 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[P250 | Digital Architect (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-factory-new) Hidden $3.75 7.49 coins $33.09 66.18 coins 8.84x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.75 | 89.89% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 0.0% covert 0.0% covert knife 0.1% classified 3.9% restricted 2.0% #8847ff 2.0% Industrial Grade 2.0% mil spec 30.0% #4b69ff 15.0% milspec 15.0% industrial 15.0% blue 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.89 on average: an expected loss of $10.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt