--- title: "Eclipse case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Eclipse ($18.02) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 96.52% over 393 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Eclipse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Eclipse A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse?window=all) Price · $18.02 · 36.03 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $16.21 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.52% · 393 openings, odds method Variance · 12.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 34 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 96.22% ±37.94 329 openings 30 days · 96.52% ±34.71 393 openings since tracking started · 96.52% ±34.71 393 openings -0.5% 203.3% 407.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse?window=24h) | 3 | 9.21% ±397.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse?window=7d) | 329 | 96.22% ±37.9 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse) | 393 | 96.52% ±34.7 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse?window=all) | 393 | 96.52% ±34.7 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 393 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,301 2,602 coins | 8.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $557 1,113 coins | 10.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.70× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $285 570 coins | 12.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.73× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $202 403 coins | 9.9% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.95× | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $188 376 coins | 11.6% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.53× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $117 235 coins | 14.5% | 10 | 7.9 | 1.27× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $44.42 88.83 coins | 8.2% | 18 | 11.8 | 1.53× | | [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $29.21 58.42 coins | 7.2% | 10 | 15.7 | 0.64× | | [Five-SeveN \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $17.55 35.1 coins | 5.4% | 20 | 19.7 | 1.02× | | [Charm \| Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) | 1 in 50 | $15.80 31.6 coins | 1.9% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.02× | | [Charm \| Big Kev charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-big-kev) | 1 in 50 | $8.80 17.6 coins | 1.1% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $7.44 14.88 coins | 0.9% | 13 | 7.9 | 1.65× | | [MP7 \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $5.63 11.26 coins | 0.7% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2.67 5.34 coins | 0.3% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.40× | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $2.17 4.33 coins | 0.3% | 5 | 7.9 | 0.64× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 71.1% | $1.66 3.32 coins | 7.3% | 273 | 279.4 | 0.98× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $557 1,113 coins 30.90x 2026-11-10 12:48 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $557 1,113 coins 30.90x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=eclipse) [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 20:07 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 20:07 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 20:07 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $557 1,113 coins 30.90x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 18:07 UTC [MP7 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $5.63 11.26 coins 0.31x 2026-11-09 18:07 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 18:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.02 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.9% Classified 0.3% classified 74.8% Industrial 1.0% #d32ee6 4.0% Mil Spec Grade 5.0% #eb4b4b 2.0% #4b69ff 2.0% restricted 4.0% industrial 2.0% best hit $557 (30.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt