--- title: "Eco Round case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eco Round ($51.58) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 77.48% over 60 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round rendered: 2026-11-11T16:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Eco Round](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Eco Round A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round?window=all) Price · $51.58 · 103 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $46.42 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.48% · 60 openings, odds method Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 60 openings · below min since tracking started · 60 openings · below min 4.0% 88.0% 172.0% **Small sample.** 60 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round?window=7d) | 30 | 88.03% ±83.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round) | 60 | 77.48% ±58.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eco-round?window=all) | 60 | 77.48% ±58.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,638 3,277 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $660 1,320 coins | 14.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $462 923 coins | 16.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Colony (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-colony-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $310 620 coins | 13.4% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $293 587 coins | 12.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $195 389 coins | 12.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $161 321 coins | 6.9% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $102 205 coins | 4.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Teardown (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-teardown-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $95.43 191 coins | 8.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $70.92 142 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-sage-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $65.10 130 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $40.42 80.83 coins | 1.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $14.08 28.16 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $11.30 22.59 coins | 0.7% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× | | [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4.27 8.53 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 70.0% | $0.83 1.67 coins | 1.3% | 44 | 42.0 | 1.05× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=eco-round) [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $195 389 coins 3.77x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $51.58 103 coins $0.83 1.67 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.58 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 3.1% restricted 6.0% rare 1.7% other 2.0% Classified 3.0% covert 5.0% Restricted 2.0% Mil Spec Grade 4.0% consumer 1.0% red 2.2% pink 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt