---
title: "Energize case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Energize ($335.73) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 72.60% over 3 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Energize](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Energize

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize?window=all)

Price · $335.73 · 671 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $302.15 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.60% · 3 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 56.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 3 openings · below min

since tracking started · 3 openings · below min

-0.5% 95.0% 190.5%

**Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize?window=7d) | 3 | 72.60% ±117.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize) | 3 | 72.60% ±117.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize?window=all) | 3 | 72.60% ±117.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,757 3,515 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $1,396 2,792 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 20.0% | $595 1,191 coins | 39.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-factory-new) | 20.0% | $478 956 coins | 31.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 10.0% | $253 506 coins | 8.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 11.5% | $21.68 43.36 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-factory-new) | 11.5% | $1.16 2.32 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) | 11.5% | $0.55 1.1 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 11.5% | $0.09 0.18 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=energize)

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $336 671 coins $253 506 coins 0.75x 2026-11-05 07:35 UTC

[MP9 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $336 671 coins $478 956 coins 1.42x 2026-11-05 07:35 UTC

[MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $336 671 coins $0.09 0.18 coins 0.00x 2026-11-05 07:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $336 | 90.00% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 11.5% legendary 1.0% covert 14.5% classified 20.0% restricted 31.5% rare 10.0% blue 11.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
