--- title: "Eye of Horus case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eye of Horus ($1,235.10) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 96.37% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus rendered: 2026-11-12T22:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Eye of Horus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Eye of Horus A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus?window=all) Price · $1,235.10 · 2,470 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,111.59 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.37% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 42.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 42.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min 67.5% 114.8% 162.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 6.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus?window=7d) | 8 | 121.51% ±40.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus) | 16 | 96.37% ±28.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eye-of-horus?window=all) | 16 | 96.37% ±28.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,862 17,724 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,335 14,669 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,321 12,641 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,500 | $5,306 10,611 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $4,761 9,523 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $3,086 6,171 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 333 | $2,401 4,803 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $2,251 4,502 coins | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $2,052 4,105 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 12.5% | $1,918 3,835 coins | 21.6% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1,750 3,500 coins | 19.7% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 15.0% | $1,606 3,212 coins | 21.7% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 15.0% | $1,350 2,701 coins | 18.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 10.0% | $860 1,721 coins | 7.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 10.0% | $451 903 coins | 4.1% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.88× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 22.9% | $121 242 coins | 2.5% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.82× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 19:03 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $2,251 4,502 coins 1.82x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,918 3,835 coins 1.55x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,918 3,835 coins 1.55x 2026-11-05 09:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,918 3,835 coins 1.55x 2026-11-05 09:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 1.42x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 1.42x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 1.42x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,606 3,212 coins 1.30x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,606 3,212 coins 1.30x 2026-11-05 09:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $860 1,721 coins 0.70x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=eye-of-horus) [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 1.42x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $860 1,721 coins 0.70x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,606 3,212 coins 1.30x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $121 242 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 1.42x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $2,251 4,502 coins 1.82x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 1.42x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,235 2,470 coins $1,918 3,835 coins 1.55x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,235 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 61.6% legendary 0.0% contraband 0.1% Extraordinary 0.3% Covert 0.5% covert knife 22.5% other 15.0% best hit $2,251 (1.82x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt