--- title: "Faded Dreams case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Faded Dreams ($5.13) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 154.98% over 494 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams rendered: 2026-11-12T01:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Faded Dreams](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Faded Dreams A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams?window=all) Price · $5.13 · 10.25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 154.98% · 494 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 494 openings · below min 7 days · 494 openings · below min 30 days · 494 openings · below min since tracking started · 494 openings · below min -0.5% 159.0% 318.5% **Small sample.** 494 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams?window=24h) | 494 | 154.98% ±162.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams?window=7d) | 494 | 154.98% ±162.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams) | 494 | 154.98% ±162.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/faded-dreams?window=all) | 494 | 154.98% ±162.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [fficient](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fficient) $5.13 10.25 coins $2,095 4,191 coins 408.9x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=faded-dreams) [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $0.12 0.24 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $0.12 0.24 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $0.74 1.49 coins 0.15x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $2.31 4.62 coins 0.45x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [USP-S | Stainless (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-field-tested) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $2.23 4.46 coins 0.44x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $0.74 1.49 coins 0.15x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $1.94 3.88 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) [fficient](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fficient) $5.13 10.25 coins $2.31 4.62 coins 0.45x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $0.12 0.24 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.13 10.25 coins $3.88 7.75 coins 0.76x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,095 (408.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 155.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $154.98 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt