--- title: "FIFTY-FIFTY KNIFE LUCK case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "FIFTY-FIFTY KNIFE LUCK ($0.94) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.09% over 9,798 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck rendered: 2026-11-12T06:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [FIFTY-FIFTY KNIFE LUCK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · FIFTY-FIFTY KNIFE LUCK A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck?window=all) Price · $0.94 · 1.87 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.09% · 9,798 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.43% ±15.23 1,216 openings 7 days · 83.92% ±13.41 6,958 openings 30 days · 81.09% ±9.86 9,798 openings since tracking started · 81.09% ±9.86 9,798 openings 69.5% 85.5% 101.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck?window=24h) | 1,216 | 85.43% ±15.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck?window=7d) | 6,958 | 83.92% ±13.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck) | 9,798 | 81.09% ±9.86 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fifty-fifty-knife-luck?window=all) | 9,798 | 81.09% ±9.86 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins $401 802 coins 428.7x 2026-11-11 01:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=fifty-fifty-knife-luck) [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins $0.85 1.71 coins 0.91x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins $0.85 1.71 coins 0.91x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins $0.85 1.71 coins 0.91x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins $0.85 1.71 coins 0.91x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) [GabrielDnh](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/GabrielDnh) $0.94 1.87 coins $0.85 1.71 coins 0.91x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins $0.85 1.71 coins 0.91x 2026-11-12 05:06 UTC [SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $0.94 1.87 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $401 (428.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.09 on average: an expected loss of $18.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt