--- title: "fortune 5% banger case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "fortune 5% banger ($133.44) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 65.98% over 48 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger rendered: 2026-11-12T12:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [fortune 5% banger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · fortune 5% banger A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger?window=all) Price · $133.44 · 267 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 65.98% · 48 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min -0.5% 75.8% 152.0% **Small sample.** 48 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger?window=24h) | 48 | 65.98% ±85.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger?window=7d) | 48 | 65.98% ±85.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger) | 48 | 65.98% ±85.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fortune-5-banger?window=all) | 48 | 65.98% ±85.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $133 267 coins $2,656 5,311 coins 19.90x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $133 267 coins $803 1,606 coins 6.02x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=fortune-5-banger) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $133 267 coins $384 767 coins 2.87x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [Zen](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Zen) $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:22 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $133 267 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,656 (19.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.98 on average: an expected loss of $34.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt