--- title: "Frankenstein case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Frankenstein ($0.53) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.86% from 12 items with odds, observed 94.43% over 10.6K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Frankenstein](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Frankenstein A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein?window=all) Price · $0.53 · 1.05 coins Advertised RTP · 89.86% · EV $0.47 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.43% · 10.6K openings, odds method Variance · 299.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 833 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1,381 openings · below min 7 days · 94.67% ±35.20 9,290 openings 30 days · 94.43% ±32.98 10.6K openings since tracking started · 94.43% ±32.98 10.6K openings -0.5% 79.8% 160.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein?window=24h) | 1,381 | 67.83% ±91.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein?window=7d) | 9,290 | 94.67% ±35.2 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein) | 10.6K | 94.43% ±33.0 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frankenstein?window=all) | 10.6K | 94.43% ±33.0 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.6K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $314 628 coins | 6.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.89× | | [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $293 587 coins | 12.4% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $271 542 coins | 11.5% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.42× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $239 478 coins | 15.2% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.32× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 2,500 | $173 345 coins | 14.6% | 11 | 4.2 | 2.60× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $128 255 coins | 10.8% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-fallout-warning-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $83.12 166 coins | 7.0% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $52.17 104 coins | 5.5% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.57× | | [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $32.98 65.95 coins | 7.0% | 7 | 10.6 | 0.66× | | [P250 \| Black & Tan (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-black-and-tan-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $9.51 19.01 coins | 6.0% | 38 | 31.7 | 1.20× | | [PP-Bizon \| Facility Sketch (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-field-tested) | 49.7% | $0.02 0.04 coins | 2.1% | 5,251 | 5258.8 | 1.00× | | [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) | 49.6% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 1.1% | 5,258 | 5253.5 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $314 628 coins 598.1x 2026-11-06 14:03 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $314 628 coins 598.1x 2026-11-05 19:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $271 542 coins 516.2x 2026-11-08 05:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $271 542 coins 516.2x 2026-11-06 16:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $271 542 coins 516.2x 2026-11-06 08:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [vahidka023gma](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/vahidka023gma) $0.53 1.05 coins $239 478 coins 455.0x 2026-11-08 02:15 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $173 345 coins 328.8x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Petitrequin00](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Petitrequin00) $0.53 1.05 coins $173 345 coins 328.8x 2026-11-09 07:07 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $173 345 coins 328.8x 2026-11-08 00:03 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $173 345 coins 328.8x 2026-11-07 08:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=frankenstein) [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-field-tested) Hidden $0.53 1.05 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.53 | 89.86% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 0.0% other 0.0% covert 0.1% covert knife 0.1% Industrial Grade 0.0% restricted 0.1% milspec 50.0% consumer 49.7% best hit $314 (598.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.86 on average: an expected loss of $10.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt