---
title: "Frontline case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Frontline ($25.34) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 78.44% over 60 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Frontline](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Frontline

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline?window=all)

Price · $25.34 · 50.68 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $22.81 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.44% · 60 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 46 openings · below min

30 days · 60 openings · below min

since tracking started · 60 openings · below min

-0.5% 90.5% 181.5%

**Small sample.** 60 openings and 6.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline?window=24h) | 8 | 62.69% ±118.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline?window=7d) | 46 | 50.83% ±49.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline) | 60 | 78.44% ±43.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frontline?window=all) | 60 | 78.44% ±43.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,353 2,706 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $835 1,669 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $280 560 coins | 12.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $165 329 coins | 10.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $82.86 166 coins | 10.9% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $54.12 108 coins | 7.1% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 33 | $52.17 104 coins | 6.9% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $40.42 80.83 coins | 8.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $34.17 68.34 coins | 7.5% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $29.36 58.71 coins | 6.4% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $28.33 56.65 coins | 6.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $24.98 49.95 coins | 5.5% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $22.37 44.74 coins | 4.9% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $13.44 26.87 coins | 2.9% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $7.63 15.26 coins | 1.7% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 48.4% | $2.64 5.27 coins | 5.6% | 31 | 29.1 | 1.07× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=frontline)

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $2.64 5.27 coins 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $52.17 104 coins 2.06x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $2.64 5.27 coins 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $2.64 5.27 coins 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $54.12 108 coins 2.14x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $2.64 5.27 coins 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $2.64 5.27 coins 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) [optic1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/optic1000) $25.34 50.68 coins $7.63 15.26 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $34.17 68.34 coins 1.35x 2026-11-09 21:40 UTC

[FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-factory-new) Hidden $25.34 50.68 coins $24.98 49.95 coins 0.99x 2026-11-09 21:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $25.34 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.0% covert 8.1% covert knife 1.0% restricted 9.5% mil spec 8.0% classified 63.4% industrial 5.0% consumer 5.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt