--- title: "Frosted case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Frosted ($75.57) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 101.13% over 332 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted rendered: 2026-11-11T18:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Frosted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Frosted A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted?window=all) Price · $75.57 · 151 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $68.01 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.13% · 332 openings, odds method Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 38 openings · below min 7 days · 117.61% ±42.23 196 openings 30 days · 101.13% ±32.44 332 openings since tracking started · 101.13% ±32.44 332 openings 68.0% 208.8% 349.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted?window=24h) | 38 | 252.76% ±95.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted?window=7d) | 196 | 117.61% ±42.2 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted) | 332 | 101.13% ±32.4 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/frosted?window=all) | 332 | 101.13% ±32.4 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 356 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,730 5,460 coins | 20.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $1,316 2,632 coins | 9.7% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.69× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $312 625 coins | 23.0% | 16 | 17.8 | 0.90× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $310 620 coins | 22.8% | 18 | 17.8 | 1.01× | | [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $85.77 172 coins | 11.4% | 31 | 32.0 | 0.97× | | [Souvenir CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-chalice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $57.73 115 coins | 6.8% | 41 | 28.5 | 1.44× | | [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 20.0% | $11.19 22.37 coins | 3.3% | 74 | 71.2 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 52.0% | $3.99 7.98 coins | 3.1% | 171 | 185.1 | 0.92× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $2,730 5,460 coins 36.13x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $2,730 5,460 coins 36.13x 2026-11-04 22:12 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $1,316 2,632 coins 17.42x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $1,316 2,632 coins 17.42x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $1,316 2,632 coins 17.42x 2026-11-04 21:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=frosted) [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $310 620 coins 4.10x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $11.19 22.37 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $3.99 7.98 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-chalice-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $57.73 115 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $11.19 22.37 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $3.99 7.98 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $3.99 7.98 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) [kvaki](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kvaki) $75.57 151 coins $312 625 coins 4.13x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $3.99 7.98 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:22 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $75.57 151 coins $3.99 7.98 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $75.57 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.5% high 0.5% restricted 5.0% sunny 5.0% mil spec 9.0% Restricted 8.0% classified 20.0% Legendary 52.0% best hit $2,730 (36.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt