---
title: "Full Send case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Full Send ($0.16) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.68% from 12 items with odds, observed 101.61% over 10.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Full Send](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Full Send

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send?window=all)

Price · $0.16 · 0.31 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.68% · EV $0.14 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.61% · 10.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 2657.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11,111 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 100.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1,906 openings · below min

7 days · 9,484 openings · below min

30 days · 10,501 openings · below min

since tracking started · 10,501 openings · below min

-0.5% 135.5% 271.5%

**Small sample.** 10,501 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send?window=24h) | 1,906 | 39.54% ±231.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send?window=7d) | 9,484 | 100.59% ±103.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send) | 10.5K | 101.61% ±98.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/full-send?window=all) | 10.5K | 101.61% ±98.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,331 2,662 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,258 2,517 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $893 1,787 coins | 6.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $811 1,623 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $751 1,501 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $480 961 coins | 6.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $473 945 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $115 230 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $110 220 coins | 3.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 40.0% | $0.14 0.28 coins | 40.3% | 4,317 | 4203.3 | 1.03× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 2.2% | 3,130 | 3152.5 | 0.99× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 1.1% | 3,060 | 3151.4 | 0.97× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [YGSuie](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/YGSuie) $0.15 0.31 coins $893 1,787 coins 5,763x 2026-11-10 04:33 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $110 220 coins 710.0x 2026-11-04 08:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=full-send)

[Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.14 0.28 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.14 0.28 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.14 0.28 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) [macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/macieja) $0.15 0.31 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.15 | 89.68% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% Covert 0.0% other 0.0% Knives 0.0% sunny 0.0% light blue 40.0% #777777 30.0% #4b69ff 30.0% best hit $893 (5,763x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.68 on average: an expected loss of $10.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt