--- title: "Fussy Puck case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fussy Puck ($51.65) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 14 items with odds, observed 91.36% over 74 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck rendered: 2026-11-11T22:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Fussy Puck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Fussy Puck A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck?window=all) Price · $51.65 · 103 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $46.48 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.36% · 74 openings, odds method Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 74 openings · below min since tracking started · 74 openings · below min 56.0% 116.8% 177.5% **Small sample.** 74 openings and 7.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck?window=7d) | 36 | 127.64% ±49.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck) | 74 | 91.36% ±34.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/fussy-puck?window=all) | 74 | 91.36% ±34.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 74 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $525 1,051 coins | 11.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $248 495 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $242 484 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $235 470 coins | 10.1% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.03× | | [AWP \| Doodle Lore (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-doodle-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $156 312 coins | 8.4% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.16× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $150 300 coins | 8.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.08× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $65.49 131 coins | 5.6% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.68× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $60.91 122 coins | 5.2% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $58.94 118 coins | 5.1% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $53.67 107 coins | 4.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $51.73 103 coins | 4.5% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.69× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $47.63 95.25 coins | 4.1% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.69× | | [Charm \| Lil' Whiskers charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-whiskers) | 12.0% | $15.58 31.15 coins | 4.0% | 10 | 8.9 | 1.13× | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 52.0% | $7.07 14.13 coins | 7.9% | 37 | 38.5 | 0.96× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $525 1,051 coins 10.17x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=fussy-puck) [Charm | Lil' Whiskers charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-whiskers) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $15.58 31.15 coins 0.30x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $7.07 14.13 coins 0.14x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $235 470 coins 4.55x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $60.91 122 coins 1.18x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $525 1,051 coins 10.17x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $150 300 coins 2.91x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $7.07 14.13 coins 0.14x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $47.63 95.25 coins 0.92x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $51.73 103 coins 1.00x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) Hidden $51.65 103 coins $51.73 103 coins 1.00x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.65 | 89.99% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% covert 62.5% extraordinary 10.0% other 2.5% #D32CE6 4.0% industrial 4.0% Classified 4.0% #8847ff 12.0% best hit $525 (10.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt