--- title: "Galil Rift case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Galil Rift ($27.03) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 70.38% over 38 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift rendered: 2026-11-12T04:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Galil Rift](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Galil Rift A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift?window=all) Price · $27.03 · 54.05 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $24.32 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.38% · 38 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 22 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min -0.5% 80.3% 161.0% **Small sample.** 38 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift?window=7d) | 22 | 79.18% ±81.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift) | 38 | 70.38% ±61.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/galil-rift?window=all) | 38 | 70.38% ±61.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $277 555 coins | 28.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $132 263 coins | 27.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× | | [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $85.84 172 coins | 10.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $75.08 150 coins | 9.3% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Shattered (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-shattered-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $59.36 119 coins | 4.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $45.23 90.45 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Galil AR \| Urban Rubble (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-urban-rubble-factory-new) | 22.0% | $11.27 22.53 coins | 10.2% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.72× | | [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 58.5% | $0.87 1.74 coins | 2.1% | 25 | 22.2 | 1.12× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=galil-rift) [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $0.87 1.74 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $0.87 1.74 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $0.87 1.74 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Galil AR | Urban Rubble (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-urban-rubble-factory-new) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $11.27 22.53 coins 0.42x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $27.03 54.05 coins $0.87 1.74 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $0.87 1.74 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $0.87 1.74 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $132 263 coins 4.87x 2026-11-09 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $27.03 54.05 coins $132 263 coins 4.87x 2026-11-09 13:02 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $27.03 54.05 coins $0.87 1.74 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 13:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.03 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 7.5% mil spec 3.0% other 3.0% #4b69ff 2.0% violet 4.0% industrial 22.0% Legendary 58.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt