--- title: "Gengar case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gengar ($75.52) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 112.75% over 735 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar rendered: 2026-11-11T23:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Gengar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Gengar A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar?window=all) Price · $75.52 · 151 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $67.96 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 112.75% · 735 openings, odds method Variance · 11.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 150.20% ±41.15 262 openings 7 days · 118.83% ±28.35 552 openings 30 days · 112.75% ±24.57 735 openings since tracking started · 112.75% ±24.57 735 openings 87.5% 139.8% 192.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar?window=24h) | 262 | 150.20% ±41.1 | +2.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar?window=7d) | 552 | 118.83% ±28.3 | +2.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar) | 735 | 112.75% ±24.6 | +1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gengar?window=all) | 735 | 112.75% ±24.6 | +1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 735 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4,198 8,395 coins | 15.4% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.18× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $614 1,228 coins | 31.6% | 30 | 25.7 | 1.17× | | [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $506 1,011 coins | 26.0% | 28 | 25.7 | 1.09× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $235 470 coins | 26.8% | 56 | 57.0 | 0.98× | | [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) | 85.0% | $0.08 0.16 coins | 0.1% | 617 | 624.8 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $4,198 8,395 coins 55.59x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $4,198 8,395 coins 55.59x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $4,198 8,395 coins 55.59x 2026-11-11 20:39 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $4,198 8,395 coins 55.59x 2026-11-03 21:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $614 1,228 coins 8.13x 2026-11-11 22:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $614 1,228 coins 8.13x 2026-11-11 22:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $614 1,228 coins 8.13x 2026-11-11 22:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $614 1,228 coins 8.13x 2026-11-11 22:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $614 1,228 coins 8.13x 2026-11-11 21:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $614 1,228 coins 8.13x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gengar) [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $235 470 coins 3.11x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC [Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $75.52 151 coins $614 1,228 coins 8.13x 2026-11-11 22:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $75.52 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.3% other 3.5% Covert 3.5% extraordinary 7.8% mil spec 85.0% best hit $4,198 (55.59x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt