--- title: "Giant Present case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Giant Present ($166.41) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 98.13% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present rendered: 2026-11-11T16:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Giant Present](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Giant Present A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present?window=all) Price · $166.41 · 333 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $149.76 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.13% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 108.3% 217.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present?window=7d) | 16 | 98.13% ±118.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present) | 16 | 98.13% ±118.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/giant-present?window=all) | 16 | 98.13% ±118.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Lekr0 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lekr0-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 50 | $2,318 4,636 coins | 31.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,301 2,602 coins | 17.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,062 2,124 coins | 14.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $639 1,278 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $459 919 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 50 | $387 774 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $251 501 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Charm \| Pinch O' Salt charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pinch-o-salt) | 1 in 33 | $90.00 180 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $75.78 152 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $50.58 101 coins | 1.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $41.51 83.01 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $31.27 62.54 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $25.31 50.62 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 10.0% | $16.67 33.34 coins | 1.1% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.88× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 10.0% | $12.52 25.03 coins | 0.8% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.88× | | [P2000 \| Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) | 40.0% | $5.03 10.05 coins | 1.3% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.94× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Lekr0 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lekr0-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $166 333 coins $2,318 4,636 coins 13.93x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=giant-present) [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) Hidden $166 333 coins $16.67 33.34 coins 0.10x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $166 333 coins $12.52 25.03 coins 0.08x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $166 333 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $166 333 coins $12.52 25.03 coins 0.08x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) Hidden $166 333 coins $16.67 33.34 coins 0.10x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $166 333 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $166 333 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) [Tomex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomex) $166 333 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $166 333 coins $75.78 152 coins 0.46x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC [P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $166 333 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $166 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 2.0% covert 18.0% gold 2.0% restricted 5.0% uncommon 3.0% extraordinary 5.0% classified 15.0% mil spec 10.0% Uncommon 40.0% best hit $2,318 (13.93x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt