--- title: "Gilded Tooth case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gilded Tooth ($9.63) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 10 items with odds, observed 85.98% over 458 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Gilded Tooth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Gilded Tooth A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth?window=all) Price · $9.63 · 19.25 coins Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $8.66 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.98% · 458 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82 openings · below min 7 days · 84.06% ±25.12 414 openings 30 days · 85.98% ±23.88 458 openings since tracking started · 85.98% ±23.88 458 openings 5.0% 62.0% 119.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth?window=24h) | 82 | 61.93% ±56.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth?window=7d) | 414 | 84.06% ±25.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth) | 458 | 85.98% ±23.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gilded-tooth?window=all) | 458 | 85.98% ±23.9 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 464 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $329 658 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $213 425 coins | 7.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $120 240 coins | 9.7% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.92× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $117 235 coins | 9.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $109 217 coins | 10.0% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $76.49 153 coins | 13.2% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.15× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $39.17 78.34 coins | 13.6% | 20 | 13.9 | 1.44× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 11.0% | $15.38 30.75 coins | 19.5% | 47 | 51.0 | 0.92× | | [Nova \| Interlock (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-interlock-factory-new) | 13.0% | $8.83 17.65 coins | 13.2% | 61 | 60.3 | 1.01× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 68.9% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 319 | 319.7 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gilded-tooth) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [Nova | Interlock (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-interlock-factory-new) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins $8.83 17.65 coins 0.92x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [Nova | Interlock (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-interlock-factory-new) [chakhna](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chakhna) $9.63 19.25 coins $8.83 17.65 coins 0.92x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Nova | Interlock (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-interlock-factory-new) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins $8.83 17.65 coins 0.92x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [Nova | Interlock (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-interlock-factory-new) Hidden $9.63 19.25 coins $8.83 17.65 coins 0.92x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.63 | 89.97% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.6% #4b69ff 1.5% restricted 3.0% mil spec 13.0% consumer 68.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt