--- title: "GingerBread House case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "GingerBread House ($6,914.29) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 97.37% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house rendered: 2026-11-11T18:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [GingerBread House](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · GingerBread House A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house?window=all) Price · $6,914.29 · 13,829 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $6,222.86 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.37% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 121.3% 243.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house?window=24h) | 4 | 97.37% ±145.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house?window=7d) | 4 | 97.37% ±145.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house) | 4 | 97.37% ±145.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gingerbread-house?window=all) | 4 | 97.37% ±145.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 25 | $36.5K 72,902 coins | 23.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $9,847 19,695 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 17 | $9,483 18,967 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $9,398 18,795 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $9,318 18,637 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $8,979 17,957 coins | 8.7% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $8,972 17,944 coins | 8.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| LUCAS1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 11 | $7,441 14,883 coins | 10.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AUG \| Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) | 50.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $6,914 13,829 coins $8,979 17,957 coins 1.30x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $6,914 13,829 coins $8,979 17,957 coins 1.30x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [BlankTorch7918](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BlankTorch7918) $6,914 13,829 coins $8,972 17,944 coins 1.30x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gingerbread-house) [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $6,914 13,829 coins $8,979 17,957 coins 1.30x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $6,914 13,829 coins $8,979 17,957 coins 1.30x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $6,914 13,829 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [BlankTorch7918](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BlankTorch7918) $6,914 13,829 coins $8,972 17,944 coins 1.30x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6,914 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 17.0% covert 18.0% #EB4B4B 6.0% other 9.0% Common 50.0% best hit $8,979 (1.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt