--- title: "Glacier case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Glacier ($1,786.73) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 70.50% over 68 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Glacier](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Glacier A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier?window=all) Price · $1,786.73 · 3,573 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,608.06 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.50% · 68 openings, odds method Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 68 openings · below min 30 days · 68 openings · below min since tracking started · 68 openings · below min -0.5% 168.0% 336.5% **Small sample.** 68 openings and 7.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier?window=24h) | 4 | 103.34% ±232.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier?window=7d) | 68 | 70.50% ±56.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier) | 68 | 70.50% ±56.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/glacier?window=all) | 68 | 70.50% ±56.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 11.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $10.6K 21,246 coins | 13.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $9,356 18,711 coins | 11.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 33 | $6,648 13,296 coins | 12.4% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.47× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4,806 9,611 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $3,134 6,269 coins | 5.8% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.45× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 33 | $2,469 4,937 coins | 4.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,788 3,576 coins | 5.6% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 20 | $1,581 3,162 coins | 4.9% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 14 | $1,316 2,632 coins | 5.7% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.26× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $1,237 2,473 coins | 3.8% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 17 | $954 1,908 coins | 3.4% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.02× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 14.0% | $249 497 coins | 2.2% | 13 | 9.5 | 1.37× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 14.0% | $245 491 coins | 2.1% | 6 | 9.5 | 0.63× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 14.0% | $240 481 coins | 2.1% | 9 | 9.5 | 0.95× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 14.0% | $235 470 coins | 2.0% | 9 | 9.5 | 0.95× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $9,356 18,711 coins 5.24x 2026-11-09 23:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $6,648 13,296 coins 3.72x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $6,648 13,296 coins 3.72x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $6,648 13,296 coins 3.72x 2026-11-09 23:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 1.75x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 1.75x 2026-11-09 23:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 1.75x 2026-11-09 23:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 1.75x 2026-11-09 23:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 1.75x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $2,469 4,937 coins 1.38x 2026-11-09 23:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=glacier) [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $6,648 13,296 coins 3.72x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $249 497 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $249 497 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) [Sanityy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Sanityy) $1,787 3,573 coins $240 481 coins 0.13x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $249 497 coins 0.14x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $1,237 2,473 coins 0.69x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [JohnDoe77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/JohnDoe77) $1,787 3,573 coins $1,237 2,473 coins 0.69x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $240 481 coins 0.13x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $6,648 13,296 coins 3.72x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,787 3,573 coins $235 470 coins 0.13x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,787 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 5.3% covert 37.0% extraordinary 3.0% high 7.0% Covert 5.8% #EB4B4B 14.0% covert knife 14.0% Knives 14.0% best hit $9,356 (5.24x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt