--- title: "gnich 15% goldy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "gnich 15% goldy ($1,354.45) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 69.86% over 12 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy rendered: 2026-11-12T14:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [gnich 15% goldy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · gnich 15% goldy A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy?window=all) Price · $1,354.45 · 2,709 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 69.86% · 12 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 94.8% 190.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy?window=24h) | 8 | 63.95% ±125.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy?window=7d) | 8 | 63.95% ±125.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy) | 12 | 69.86% ±95.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich-15-goldy?window=all) | 12 | 69.86% ±95.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins $6,930 13,859 coins 5.12x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [ilovegoon](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/ilovegoon) $1,354 2,709 coins $4,425 8,850 coins 3.27x 2026-11-04 20:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gnich-15-goldy) [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins $6,930 13,859 coins 5.12x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $1,354 2,709 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,930 (5.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.86 on average: an expected loss of $30.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt