--- title: "Gnich62 x Matt case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gnich62 x Matt ($165.38) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 33.83% over 88 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt rendered: 2026-11-12T01:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Gnich62 x Matt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Gnich62 x Matt A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt?window=all) Price · $165.38 · 331 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 33.83% · 88 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 88 openings · below min since tracking started · 88 openings · below min -0.5% 48.3% 97.0% **Small sample.** 88 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt?window=24h) | 8 | 4.58% ±2.21 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt?window=7d) | 32 | 34.68% ±61.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt) | 88 | 33.83% ±33.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnich62-x-matt?window=all) | 88 | 33.83% ±33.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $165 331 coins $1,796 3,591 coins 10.86x 2026-11-04 22:39 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $165 331 coins $1,672 3,343 coins 10.11x 2026-11-05 16:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gnich62-x-matt) [MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-music-box-factory-new) Hidden $165 331 coins $9.85 19.69 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $165 331 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $165 331 coins $12.25 24.49 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) Hidden $165 331 coins $4.89 9.78 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) Hidden $165 331 coins $9.14 18.27 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $165 331 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $165 331 coins $12.25 24.49 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $165 331 coins $12.25 24.49 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $165 331 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-05 16:32 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $165 331 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-05 16:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,796 (10.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 33.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $33.83 on average: an expected loss of $66.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt