---
title: "GNICHGOAT case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "GNICHGOAT ($441.93) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 125.44% over 2,660 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [GNICHGOAT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · GNICHGOAT

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat?window=all)

Price · $441.93 · 884 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 125.44% · 2,660 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 153.83% ±63.97 1,040 openings

7 days · 132.55% ±34.54 2,288 openings

30 days · 125.44% ±30.58 2,660 openings

since tracking started · 125.44% ±30.58 2,660 openings

89.0% 153.8% 218.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat?window=24h) | 1,040 | 153.83% ±64.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat?window=7d) | 2,288 | 132.55% ±34.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat) | 2,660 | 125.44% ±30.6 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnichgoat?window=all) | 2,660 | 125.44% ±30.6 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $442 884 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 166.4x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC

[Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $442 884 coins $72.4K 144,822 coins 163.9x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC

[Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $442 884 coins $52.4K 104,780 coins 118.5x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $442 884 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 82.20x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $442 884 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 82.20x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $442 884 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 82.20x 2026-11-11 10:52 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $442 884 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 82.20x 2026-11-07 22:01 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $442 884 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 82.20x 2026-11-07 22:01 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $442 884 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 82.20x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $442 884 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 82.20x 2026-11-05 04:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gnichgoat)

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $442 884 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $73.5K (166.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 125.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $125.44 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
