--- title: "Gnome case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gnome ($3.04) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 14 items with odds, observed 84.87% over 2,201 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Gnome](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Gnome A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome?window=all) Price · $3.04 · 6.08 coins Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $2.74 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.87% · 2,201 openings, odds method Variance · 22.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.29% ±58.93 246 openings 7 days · 83.90% ±23.24 1,581 openings 30 days · 84.87% ±19.70 2,201 openings since tracking started · 84.87% ±19.70 2,201 openings 32.5% 92.3% 152.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome?window=24h) | 246 | 92.29% ±58.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome?window=7d) | 1,581 | 83.90% ±23.2 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome) | 2,201 | 84.87% ±19.7 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gnome?window=all) | 2,201 | 84.87% ±19.7 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,201 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,258 2,517 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $501 1,002 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $233 466 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $50.22 100 coins | 18.4% | 24 | 22.0 | 1.09× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $25.31 50.62 coins | 18.5% | 54 | 44.0 | 1.23× | | [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $17.64 35.28 coins | 12.9% | 44 | 44.0 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $15.43 30.85 coins | 11.3% | 51 | 44.0 | 1.16× | | [Charm \| Backsplash charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-backsplash) | 1 in 50 | $14.00 28 coins | 10.2% | 43 | 44.0 | 0.98× | | [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $6.71 13.42 coins | 4.9% | 39 | 44.0 | 0.89× | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.75 5.49 coins | 5.0% | 111 | 110.1 | 1.01× | | [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1.07 2.13 coins | 1.9% | 111 | 110.1 | 1.01× | | [Charm \| Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) | 15.0% | $0.50 1 coins | 2.7% | 350 | 330.1 | 1.06× | | [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.15 0.3 coins | 1.4% | 518 | 550.3 | 0.94× | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 38.9% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 856 | 855.9 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gnome) [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $1.07 2.13 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Five-SeveN | Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-factory-new) [meowmeoww](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/meowmeoww) $3.04 6.08 coins $17.64 35.28 coins 5.80x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC [AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $25.31 50.62 coins 8.33x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $2.75 5.49 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.04 | 89.97% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% Covert 0.0% Extraordinary 0.1% extraordinary 1.0% classified 7.0% Consumer Grade 2.0% Industrial Grade 2.0% #4b69ff 55.9% mil spec 2.0% restricted 5.0% Rare 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt