--- title: "Gold 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gold 5% ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.99% over 5,076 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Gold 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Gold 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 72.99% · 5,076 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 466 openings · below min 7 days · 70.95% ±15.73 3,910 openings 30 days · 72.99% ±14.78 5,076 openings since tracking started · 72.99% ±14.78 5,076 openings 20.0% 64.5% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5?window=24h) | 466 | 64.60% ±44.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5?window=7d) | 3,910 | 70.95% ±15.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5) | 5,076 | 72.99% ±14.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gold-5?window=all) | 5,076 | 72.99% ±14.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $677 1,353 coins 135.3x 2026-11-05 20:34 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) [TMUBB](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/TMUBB) $5.00 10 coins $677 1,353 coins 135.3x 2026-11-04 19:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $405 809 coins 80.91x 2026-11-10 14:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) [BigNIg2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BigNIg2000) $5.00 10 coins $405 809 coins 80.91x 2026-11-04 07:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-10 15:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-10 09:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-10 03:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-10 01:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gold-5) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [BigNIg2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BigNIg2000) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:04 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $677 (135.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.99 on average: an expected loss of $27.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt