--- title: "Green Day case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Green Day ($8.28) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 153.50% over 132 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day rendered: 2026-11-12T10:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Green Day](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Green Day A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day?window=all) Price · $8.28 · 16.56 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 153.50% · 132 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 44 openings · below min 30 days · 132 openings · below min since tracking started · 132 openings · below min -0.5% 318.0% 636.5% **Small sample.** 132 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day?window=24h) | 12 | 80.35% ±95.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day?window=7d) | 44 | 280.91% ±354.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day) | 132 | 153.50% ±121.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-day?window=all) | 132 | 153.50% ±121.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins $658 1,317 coins 79.50x 2026-11-06 12:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=green-day) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins $23.26 46.51 coins 2.81x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins $44.54 89.07 coins 5.38x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.28 16.56 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $658 (79.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 153.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $153.50 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt